At least, if you want to win anyway…. You just need a better strategy. Using them in the right situations is the key to profiting…. Football trading strategies are often very simple the best ones. Keeping to it, as with all trading is the harder bit! Doing plenty of homework on each game prior will also massively increase confidence and success in any of the football trading strategies mentioned….
When team sheets and various information is released there is opportunity. Just think about that a second. When I say fixed I mean as clear-cut as the same thing every time. Information and situations dictate the market, as they change we will need to change with them. One thing is for certain though; when there is change there is opportunity. Even those with the best football trading strategies know this!
Just ask the pro football traders over at pre-match trading. Sometimes a lack of information can be just as telling as something happening, the clip below should make thing a bit clearer.
Obviously this graph is for a game where no goals were scored. Much like tennis trading , unbiased knowledge of the sport is a big advantage. By having a good feel on how the game is going, this strategy can be effective.
I should mention though, its best to be select with its application! If the pace of place suddenly changes it could be a good time to scale some of your position out at the very least. The last 30 minutes of any game can get a little more frantic, in the market and on pitch. Waiting for the right opportunity and knowing your teams means this can be a pretty safe play at times….
After suspension in any match the market goes haywire. Traders in a bad position exit, others scramble to open a good one. There are many different reasons for this, although one of which is a stand out opportunity for me.
After a goal the price dropped from 3. One of those lovely points where, you can find an over-reaction. More importantly, you get to open a trade with far more potential upside than down.
Worst case, you would have to exit at 1. On the flip side, if there was a counter-goal as there often is in football the price would have been back at 3.
This is what makes this method one of my favourite football trading strategies. Obviously there is the risk of the current team that scored scoring again. After conceding a goal, most teams are on edge enough to stop the follow-up. If the favourites scored it was that bit more expected and so the situation is a little different.
If the favourites scored first though, the price will be far lower, offering less financial liability for the risk of opening the trade. Horse Racing Trading Strategies. Laying the draw is probably the oldest, and one of the most known Betfair football trading strategies.
Many are already aware, but for those who are not I shall explain…. By laying the draw you are basically looking to open a position with the view of a goal being scored at some point.
Once a goal is scored you trade out for a profit, or at least offset your position to reduce risk, leaving an increased payout on what you think will happen. There is a risk of over-trading though, so be select and consult statistics on previous performances where possible.
As with any trading strategy, the aim of the game is just to win more often than you lose! Not just trade every game. There are two main things to bear in mind when laying the draw. The price at which you open a position, and the likelihood of a goal. Checking the game in question for historical statistics is a good idea.
Also checking the line-up for the game. Many games are still 0 — 0 at half time. Depending on the situation. And turning up the heat in the second. As with any of the football trading strategies, careful selection is important. No two matches are identical. Many play this strategy a few times, see it works and then proceed to do it on every game in sight. Trading football markets on Betfair is a little different to Horse Racing. In my experience its far easier to just aim for one edge in a match.
Unlike the Horse Racing markets where you can place many more trades and act intuitively. Keeping a spreadsheet to record trades and games is also a good place to start! All football trading strategies will work better in specific types of situation.
Some more than others. But if you have one strategy you can apply successfully on a regular basis the balance soon grows. And the markets feel that bit easier to profit from. However, football markets turn over huge sums of cash on a daily basis.
Having just one or two good trades a week can prove a lucrative, with the markets being so much larger it means stakes can be too! The more Football trading strategies you have at your disposal the more profits you can make. There will be occasions where the opportunity changes and the strategy you was about to use will no longer be of use.
Trading markets evolve over time which also makes it important to search for new edges as well as those time-less strategies that will always be there! Find this post useful? Please feel free to leave a comment below…. Taking what you said in this article, without some critical thinking and knowledge of the markets, will get you a loss in the long-term!
Namely, the odds compression examples where the odd stays still for a long time, depends on a lot of factors time of the goal, was it against the run of play? Finally, the Wazzo thread is pretty good, it explains things on a macro level without dwelling too much on the details, but it is value content on football trading.
The compression examples are the key place anyone should be thinking about getting involved. Obviously knowledge of the game is important too, if a goal was against the grain of play for example it would indeed hold longer at a no-loss price.
The second half — the second half if faster moving as you say, which is the beauty of it in my opinion. Price is an important fact at which you get involved with this too, obviously laying at Wazzo thread is interesting for sure, like you say not a lot of detail but its always good to read between the lines on such instances!
Keen to get on and try the others now! I also prefer pre horse race trading but see the logic in using your skills in other situations.
Its good to read other traders ideas as it confirms that you are on the right track when they match yours. I think it could really come across well as you have a natural writing and teaching personality. Your email address will not be published. Notify me of follow-up comments by email.
Notify me of new posts by email. Using them in the right situations is the key to profiting… Football trading strategies are often very simple the best ones. Crazy changes in the racing markets?! HI Johnny, Thanks… Everyone should do some homework! The post is highly educative and an eye opener for a new bettor. Leave a Reply Cancel reply Your email address will not be published.More...